NASCAR AT ATLANTA ODDS, PICKS 2019: MODEL SAYS CHASE ELLIOTT SURPRISES AT FOLDS OF HONOR QUIKTRIP 500

The 2019 NASCAR schedule kicks into high gear Sunday Together with the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

The green flag falls at 2 p.m. ET for your 325-lap race and defending champion Kevin Harvick is the 4-1 favorite in the latest 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 chances. Falling in just behind him with 6-1 NASCAR in Atlanta chances are Joey Logano and Kyle Busch, who finished in the top four final week at the Daytona 500. Before you make your 2019 QuikTrip 500 selections and NASCAR in Atlanta predictions, make sure you check out the projected leaderboard from the proven computer version at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track history and current results into consideration.

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It made some huge calls in NASCAR last year, including nailing wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. And it is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a leading competition from the start. Anybody who has followed its selections is way, way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic venues like Atlanta Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. Now his model simulated the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 a total of 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For your 2019 QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta, we can tell you the model is top on Chase Elliott, who makes a strong run in the checkered flag despite heading off at 10-1 odds. Elliott doesn’t have a lengthy history at Atlanta, but he has had success there in all three of his starts in the track since joining the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series. He’s finished within the top 10 in each of those races and even earned a top-five end in 2017.

Before joining NASCAR’s top circuit, Elliott had two top-five endings at Atlanta in the NASCAR Xfinity Series. Elliott is a Georgia native and his dad, Bill Elliott, won at NASCAR’s highest level in Atlanta Motor Speedway five occasions in his career, so it is something of a house monitor for the 23-year-old. The version expects him to ride that edge to the top of the leaderboard on Sunday.

Another shocker in the model: Kyle Busch, one of the best Vegas favorites at 6-1, does not even crack the top five.

The 2019 Daytona 500 runner-up started on the pole in this race a season ago, but ended up finishing in seventh place. The year prior, he had yet another quick ride and started the race , but ended up in 16th.

Since his win at Atlanta in 2013, Busch has only conducted 56.7 percent of his laps within the top 15. For his career, he has finished outside the top 10 in 13 of his 20 career starts at Atlanta Motor Speedway. There are far better values in this affluent 2019 QuikTrip 500 lineup compared to the 6-1 premium you’ll want to cover him.

The model is also targeting three other motorists using 2019 NASCAR in Atlanta chances of 10-1 or even longer to make a serious run at winning it all. Anybody who backs these shots can hit it big.

Read more: chicagopost.net

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