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TJ Dillashaw Breakdown:
With the weigh-ins finish, TJ appears sharp and has proven himself well ready for the 125lb division. On the feet he should have a significant edge over Cejudo. The duration of TJ, together with his unorthodox fashion, will let him land severe volume against the more limited wrestler. Furthermore leg kicks are a deadly option against front hefty karate stance. Cejudo will be needing takedowns and significant top control if he is to acquire any rounds. Unfortunately for him, TJ has exceptional wrestling himself in addition to an arguably more dangerous grappling arsenal. His evasiveness should restrict Cejudo’s chances to take and on the ground he will be difficult to control for extended periods. Overall the path to victory looks slender for Cejudo whilst TJ is an established finisher who conveys good aerobic and far superior volume to acquire more than 5 rounds. The bet will be TJ Dillashaw to function as double champ!Rachael Ostovich Breakdown:
Both these fighters have some defects to their game but stylistically that is a winnable battle for the underdog. On the toes Vanzant is more pliable but likely faster with more quantity. Ostovich includes a simpler fashion but neither fighter is likely to land considerable harm . The size and strength of Ostovich will probably be a major advantage on the ground where both girls have a tendency to attract the battle. Vanzant is tenacious but takes risky options and leaves a lot of openings for competitions. Ostovich can capitalise her superior control means she will spend much more time on top or at dominant positions. Expect a back and forth struggle where we get good value about the underdog odds.
Bet = Ostovich in 2.35 (+135) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 4.05 Units.
Ariane Lipski Breakdown:
Lipski that the”Violence Queen” is making her debut after an impressive run as the KSW champion. Matching up using Calderwood she’s the benefit in many areas. The power and aggression of Lipski’s combos at the pocket will be overpowering for Calderwood who lacks speed and head movement. This battle is most likely to play out on the feet but on the mat it is Lipski with the far better abilities. Calderwood is coming from a”lucky” submission win in a fight where she was having a great deal of trouble. Over her career she has been know to struggle with adversity during conflicts and search for a way out. Lipski though looks to be very durable and fights with heart. At 24 years old she will be showing substantial improvements between conflicts.
Bet = Lipski in 1.53 (-188) odds. Risk 5 Components to win 2.65 Units.
Alexander Hernandez Breakdown:
Cerrone is coming back down to 155lbs for an unlikely matchup against a rising prospect. Hernandez brings a style which is proven against Cowboy together with his rapid start and relentless pressure. Whether this battle goes the distance it’ll be Hernandez pushing the speed, holding Cerrone from the fence and procuring takedowns to impress the judges. Cowboys best path to victory is snatching a entry off his back but that is a little probability against a powerful wrestler. The power, athleticism, youth and fashion of Hernandez is going to be a great deal for the veteran to handle with just 3 rounds to work with. Cerrone is generally a slow starter and the drop back to 155lb is unlikely to assist his durability issues.
Bet = Hernandez at 1.54 (-185) odds. Risk 4 Units to acquire 2.16 Units.
Dustin Ortiz Breakdown:
This is a rematch struggle from the very first back in 2014, which Benavidez won through conclusion. Today it is Ortiz that has proven the newest improvements in his game, now riding an impressive win streak. Benavidez remains a leading contender but does look like he is slightly declining in his current appearances. As an underdog Ortiz has a couple of avenues to victory. He will be at a disadvantage on the toes concerning quantity, but packs substantial power. Benavidez has been wobbled consistently in recent conflicts indicating his durability is evaporating. Additionally the 34 year old will slow down later in the fight since Ortiz brings a relentless grinding speed. This should be a close fight that looks to be lined too wide.
Bet = Ortiz in 3.05 (+205) chances. Risk 2 Units to win 4.1 Units.
Karl Roberson Breakdown:
Roberson is moving up as a late replacement to undertake the difficult veteran Glover. On the feet the disparity is wide. Roberson is lightning fast and has strong counters. Glover has slowed considerably into his later years and together with his durability fading his lack of head movement is apparent. Cory Anderson (Roberson’s training partner) is not known for his striking yet discovered huge success himself on the toes in his last fight against Glover. The obvious dilemma for Roberson is his grappling defence, but working with Anderson he should be advancing here as a young prospect. Glover may get some takedowns but if he does not get an early submission it will be challenging to keep up with the younger, faster and more athletic Roberson. Additionally if he can not get it into the mat his choices look bleak. As an underdog, Roberson seems a solid bet.
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